Well, first of all you must make sure he is defenseless, not only must he not have any way to defend himself or to attack, he must have no way out, and no friends must be around to help him.
Then you'll have the perfect crime setup. In this case it's not a pigeon, only a state with four million people inside. It's called Georgia, and aside from Sweden and a few other neighbouring states (like Lithuania) no one is around to help. The USA, NATO and all the big players just say: have sense, cease hostilities. But in fact there is only one side to this hostility, and a very stupid group of military commanders on the the other side, stupid enough to reply to the hostility, when they are in a position of incredible frailty. They might have understood that they were falling into a trap, but like a mad dog, angered and the spite, they just go and attack, forgetting that Ossetian "terrorists" have a very big friend around, that the stage has been well mounted, they the only thing left for them is to fall into the trap.
Among the desire of a powerful military demonstration from Russia (Putin certainly, what about Medved, just trapped in it?), and the pride of Georgean officials, a conscious victim sees its end approaching, its Mikheil Saakashvili. He knows he has no chance of a military victory over the giant. And yet, he can't avoid the war. The Russians have been smart to the point of asking for a special UN meeting, all meticulously synchronized with the beggining of the Olympic games in Beijing! Amazing. The perfect crime!
Here is the deafening speech from Mikheil Saakashvil: (source, while it is still there!!)
My dear fellow citizens!It seems as if he is really serious. The beautiful man and his beatiful wife, and all their beautiful plans to raise a free country, well...I would like to address South Ossetia, I want to address all of Georgian society, all of our multi-ethnic Georgian society. I want to address ethnic Georgians and ethnic Ossetians, ethnic Russians and ethnic Jews, living in the conflict zone-all citizens of our country, regardless of their ethnicity.
My dear fellow citizens!
The situation in and around Tskhinvali has just worsened. In recent days, the permanent provocations, violations, murders, and other offenses to which we have become accustomed now have escalated dangerously and threaten the peace.
I myself do not understand why the separatists became so aggressive exactly at this time. First, they attacked several times the Head of the Provisional Administration of South Ossetia, Dimitry Sanakoev, who was one of the former separatist leaders and who opted for peace. Then, they began attacking Georgian police, peacekeeping posts, and mobile patrols. During the last few days, they undertook large scale attacks and are continuing to attack peaceful civilians in villages.
Sniper assaults on civilians in Georgian villages are still underway. Even at this moment, as I speak to you, intensive fire is coming from artillery, tanks, and other weapons-such as mortars and grenade launchers-that have been illegally deployed in the conflict zone.
We have been in constant contacts with the leadership of the local Russian peacekeeping forces.
Several hours ago, they told us that they have completely lost control over the actions of the separatists.
I dispatched to Tskhinvali Mr. Temur Iakobashvili-the State Minister for Reintegration and the Special Representative of the President in the negotiating process-in order to conduct direct talks regarding a ceasefire.
The separatists refused to accept him and sent him back from the conflict zone without any results.
We are in constant contact with the leadership of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and the Ministry tells us Russia is trying to stop the separatists from engaging in armed action, but without any success.
I would like to directly address those people who are at this moment shooting peaceful civilians and Georgian police forces.
You have been shooting during the last several days and especially in the last several hours.
I want to declare with full responsibility and confess that several hours ago, in my capacity as Commander in Chief of Georgia, I issued a very painful order directing all Georgian police forces and other units under our control not to return fire, even if they face intensive bombing.
I did this very deliberately.
However, I would like to state that in the hours since, during which time our forces and civilians have fallen victim-there are many casualties and many wounded, many houses have been destroyed and damaged-I did this deliberately in order to have the possibility to stand before you and call for an immediate ceasefire and immediate negotiations.
I continue to support the peace plan for South Ossetia that I introduced three years ago, a plan that has been developed over the course of many years. It includes practicaly unrestricted autonomy and local governance for South Ossetia, special safeguards for the human rights of every ethnic Ossetian, autonomy under international guarantees, an autonomous structure created according to EU standards.
I am proposing that Russia act as a guarantor of South Ossetian autonomy within Georgia. I act with full responsibility, so that Russia, Georgia, and European countries can participate in the peacekeeping process. The local population must feel that they are defended by the international community, by people who deserve their trust.
I want to say, that despite the fact that many people have been killed and robbed, have had their possessions absolutely destroyed, we are offering full amnesty to everyone who has committed such criminal acts punishable under Georgian law, if they immediately cease fire. I am willing to take even such a consequential step. The Georgian government is ready to forgive the crimes committed in recent years in order to secure peace, to continue the peacekeeping process and negotiations.
We offer all of you partnership and friendship, despite your violations against Georgian state and the local population, no matter what acts you committed, acts that are punishable under Georgian and international laws. Because peace is a greater value, more vital than anything else. We are ready for any sort of agreement in the interest of peace.
But I once again would like to address you.
My dear people, my dear fellow citizens!
I love Ossetians as a President and as a ordinary citizen of this country.
I admire and respect Ossetian history and culture.
Every ethnic Ossetian has been an inseparable part of Georgian history for centuries.
We are proud of you and our unity. Georgia is strong for its diversity. Georgia has never been and will never be a mono-ethnic country. Georgia belongs to all of us regardless of our ethnicity.
Let’s take care of our country together. Let’s together avoid the violence. Let’s work together for a better future. Let’s forget everything negative that has happened in the past and let’s together think about our common future.
I would like to address the international community. Nobody should try to present the Georgian government as a supporter of any kind of violence. For so many days, we have been reaching out to our partners-today we have spoken to several world leaders-to help us stop the escalation of violence. We ask that you help us conduct direct negotiations, to guarantee the autonomous status of South Ossetia, and to internationalize the peace process. We also ask for your assistance in holding a more results-oriented dialogue.
We are doing everything to avoid escalation of the violence.
I would like to address the Russian Federation as well.
Georgia is a natural ally of Russia.
Any president of Georgia-and myself above all, since I know well what Russia means for Georgia-will always be committed to good relations with Russia, assuming that Russia respects the territorial integrity of Georgia, the sovereignty of Georgia, and the inviolability of the state borders of Georgia.
In recent years, South Ossetia, for all intents and purposes, is directly administered by the Russian Federation.
There are ministers in the separatist government in Tskhinvali, for instance, who also are officials of the Russian government and who have been sent to South Ossetia on mission.
I request from Russia and the separatists to pull these ministers out; they have nothing to do in South Ossetia; they do not contribute to the historic friendship between Georgians and South Ossetians. To the contrary: They hamper the restoration of our traditional allied relations.
We need true mediators, and we offer the Russian Federation an important role in resolving this conflict.
We can accomplish many things together. But for now, we must return to the situation as it stands today.
Georgia is undertaking an immediate, unilateral cease fire. We do not have the will to respond to violence with yet more violence.
We have been tolerating this for so many years. We have not responded to so many provocations throughout the years, to countless violations. No other state would have shown such restraint. Please, do not test the Georgian state’s patience. Because this is your country, which is willing to defend each of you.
Let’s stop this spiral of violence. I address everyone: Let’s do everything to stop the escalation-today, tomorrow, or the day after-and return to the negotiating table. Let’s use every possible format-direct, multilateral, and other formats-to overcome this absolutely critical situation, to come out of this unacceptable deadlock in which we all find ourselves.
My dear people!
I rely on your wisdom, on your historical experience, that lies in our shared past and in our genes.
This is the Caucasus, where violence harms everyone.
Let’s give peace and dialogue a chance.
I really believe in you!
Will they be just rocks tomorrow? Not even memories, perhaps. (at least not undistorted ones!)
The fact that only Sweeden had a proper reply makes us think what the world would be like if all the nations had proper governments.
Sweden's (Carl Bildt's) reply: "The way in which the situation in South Ossetia has deteriorated is cause for profound concern. It is extremely important that all those involved show restraint and play their part in bringing about a political solution," ... "I am particularly concerned about the impact of the conflict on civilians. Georgia and Russia are dangerously close to war and there is a great risk of this spreading to other parts of the Caucasus."[95] Bildt further stated that the crisis is due to "provocations from the South Ossetian side" and that the Georgian forces are trying to "restore the constitutional order". [96] and that the Russian bombing of Georgia is "very worrying and will demand a forceful reaction from the United Nations and the European Union." [97]" (Wiki)
Forceful? Yeah, right! Fifty years ago, when the traces of war were still implanted in us, we would have a forceful response. We would know what could and could not be tolerated. We would value upholding democracies rather then upholding cheap oil. But all the memories of war seem to have been forgotten. In ten or twenty years we should be heading for a new one, to remind us, once more, that there are things to which we simply cannot close our eyes to.
For another similar look check this bbc article.
UPDATE August 11: Well, the most unlikely figure stepped up to help Georgia. In fact, his statement is almost everything a worthy US presidential statement should be at this time: John McCain (notice that I would generally prefer Obama, but not in this particular instance). You can see the video here. The lonely voice from the west that does more than "strongly condemn" or "call Russia to...". This is the kind of response we need! But I would also add to this speech the need from South Ossetia to be officialy independent from Georgia. South Ossetia had two referendums, in 1992 and 2006, which undeniably expressed their want to separate from Georgia! They should have that right, to self-determination, as soon as possible, and that should be apllied to every region in the world. People, ethnic groups, communities, etc, should belong to larger states because they desire to (like in the EU or the USA), because it is in their best interest to belong, not because they are forced to (like the kurds in Turkey and Iraq, or what is still happening in ex-Juguslavia). Let people be free, without freedom there will be no peace, oppression leads to revolt. Without this addition of the need for the self-determination of South Ossetia, McCain's speech can actually bring more tension. But his guts are severly need in the political scene!
Here is an interesting article from the iht, I just don't agree with the phrase "Saakashvili had acted rashly". I believe it was not his decision to retaliate. He offered a cease fire and a general amnesty, but I believe somewhere in the chain of command the military simply did not obey him. Seeing everything being destroyed around, having immense immediate firepower and simply not responding is something a military man has difficulty in doing. The art of non-reaction is not encoraged in those parts.
No comments:
Post a Comment